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Liverpool needed two late goals from Darwin Nunez to seize a six-point lead in the Premier League over the weekend.
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Arsenal trailed behind Liverpool after a disappointing draw against Aston Villa at the Emirates Stadium
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Opta’s supercomputer’s latest calculations indicate that Liverpool are still the overwhelming favourites to claim the championship title
A surprising turn occurred in the 2024/25 Premier League title chase on matchday 22.
Liverpool’s leaders managed a tough win on the road, whereas Arsenal’s 2-0 advantage slipped away, resulting in a draw.
A supercomputer powered by Opta has forecasted the winner after an exciting weekends’ matches in the English top division of the premier league.
Here’s how Premier League matchday 22 played out
Premier League leaders Liverpool secured a win away from home against Brentford by means of two excellent goals from late substitute Darwin Nunez. The team recorded 37 shots, a record number of shots by an away side in the Premier League in the past 20 years.
Arne Slot’s team ended their sequence of two consecutive draws to collect their initial Premier League victory of 2025.
“I’d been thinking whether Liverpool would score because before we scored our two goals, the game felt like I was watching it repeatedly in the same pattern,” Slot said via Liverpoolfc.com.
Their closest competitor, Arsenal, were heading towards a convincing win over Aston Villa, but they squandered a 2-0 advantage to end with a 2-2 draw.
Arsenal hoped to apply more pressure on Liverpool, but Aston Villa’s two well-taken goals and a lackluster performance thwarted that goal.
“We created more chances in the first half, but had less of them in the second. It was a stark contrast, really,” Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta explained.
Nottingham Forest drew level on 44 points with Arsenal after their win over Southampton.
Manchester City earned a resounding 6-0 victory over Ipswich Town, yet find themselves in fifth place with a total of 38 points.
Chelsea ended a poor run with a convincing 3-1 victory over Wolves to move back into fourth place with 40 points, 10 points behind leaders Liverpool.
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After leaving it late against Brentford, Opta’s supercomputer gave Liverpool a 91.8% chance of winning the Premier League this season. Their chances stood at 86.5% beforehand, following the match against Brentford.
Arsenal’s chances of success dropped to 8.2% from 13% following their disappointing result against Aston Villa.
Defending champions Manchester City have a 0.3% likelihood of winning, while rising Nottingham Forest have a 0.1% chance.
Pep Guardiola downplayed the significance of the result’s impact on the title race, insisting the team is focused on qualifying for the Champions League.
“We are very pleased, we are back to doing things that characterize this team for the last 10 years. Very pleased for the three points and to reach qualification for the Champions League for next season, that will be extremely challenging,” he said via Sky Sports.
“I thought the game was a fair draw. We paid for their goal and created enough chances to win the game. We were in control most of the time,” unai emery said.
Previous articles have documented the reactions from fans following the draw against Aston Villa at the Emirates.
Most supporters concluded that Arsenal’s opportunity to win the Premier League title was over after their result against Villa, which left them six points behind the leaders, Liverpool.
